President Donald Trump introduced in a tweet late Thursday night time that he and his spouse Melania have examined constructive for the virus that causes Covid-19, the pandemic illness that has killed greater than one million individuals worldwide in simply 9 months—and one whose severity the president has constantly downplayed.
It’s a rare flip of occasions simply 32 days earlier than Election Day. White House spokespeople had, solely hours earlier than, introduced that the president’s shut adviser Hope Hicks was ill with Covid-19. She, the president, and the First Lady have had shut contact with innumerable aides, members of the family, marketing campaign workers, reporters, and safety element members who’ve accompanied the president on the path over the previous couple of weeks, together with to Tuesday’s debate with former vice chairman Joe Biden. As just lately as this week, the president and Vice President Mike Pence had been holding rallies with hundreds of people, typically crowded into enclosed spaces, largely with out sporting face masks—precisely the sort of behaviors identified to unfold the virus.
Actual particulars of the president’s sickness are scant; his doctor Sean Conley wrote a memorandum launched by the White House press workplace saying that “the President and First Lady are both well at this time.” Melania Trump tweeted, “We are feeling good.” At a rally two weeks in the past, Trump told the crowd that the virus “affects virtually no one.”
Not solely is that not true, however the doable penalties are rather more extreme for people who find themselves older and overweight. In a bizarre twist of luck for Trump, although, Covid-19 has been round for lengthy sufficient that well being care staff and scientists have begun to provide you with methods to deal with it. Here are the sorts of choices well being care staff may think about for somebody just like the president.
Even although individuals of any age and any well being standing can get very sick and die from Covid-19, three of the issues that make the illness most threatening are being male, previous, and obese. That’s not nice for the president. Trump is 74 years previous and, as of June, weighed 244 kilos. Technically that makes him mildly overweight. Across an entire population, all different issues being equal, Covid-19 kills hardly anybody beneath 50. But over 50, the numbers start to climb. For individuals older than their mid-seventies, the mortality charge for Covid-19 is around 4 percent. “Compared to an 18-to 29-year-old, someone aged 73 is about 5 times more likely to be hospitalized and about 90 times more likely to die of Covid,” says Bob Wachter, chair of the division of medication at UC San Francisco. “Once you’re up to age 75, that death number becomes 220 times more likely to die.”
Obesity makes the numbers even worse, although nobody’s actually certain why but. So do different power diseases that always associate with age, like diabetes and heart conditions. “This has nothing to do with the president’s specific situation, just the odds in a population,” Wachter says. “But the odds of someone that age with comorbidities getting sick enough to be hospitalized are well above 10 percent, and the odds of dying are probably in the 5 to 10 percent range.”
The president’s physicians have repeatedly reported that he’s more healthy than even youthful, lighter males. (Of course, in 2015, when Trump was a candidate, he apparently dictated his personal physician’s letter.) Trump doesn’t smoke tobacco or drink alcohol, however he additionally doesn’t appear to interact in common train outdoors golf. And different bizarre occasions have given rise to issues and whispers that Trump’s well being was actually secretly not so great. Occasionally, he appears to slur his phrases or appear unsteady at public occasions, as when he apparently had bother navigating down a shallow ramp after a speech on the US Military Academy. And then there was the sudden and unsatisfactorily defined emergency trip by motorcade to Walter Reed Medical Center in 2019.